Statball

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Baltimore Orioles
3
0% — our call
Final
Toronto Blue Jays
7
100% — our call
Baltimore Oriolesgame flow — win probabilityToronto Blue Jays
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Jays in control. Red fill: Orioles. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Orioles · 6 H, 0 EJays · 11 H, 3 E
100%
Jays win — Statball prediction
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Kalshi price of “Jays win” — pays $1 if they do
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our live number minus theirs
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pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Pete Alonso lines out to third baseman Kazuma Okamoto.
top 9Dylan Beavers reaches on a throwing error by pitcher Louis Varland. Dylan Beavers to 2nd.
top 9Samuel Basallo strikes out swinging.
top 9Leody Taveras strikes out swinging.
bot 8Vladimir Guerrero Jr. grounds out softly to first baseman Pete Alonso.
bot 8George Springer flies out to second baseman Jackson Holliday.
bot 8Brett Bateman called out on strikes.
bot 8Myles Straw walks.

Context the model prices

Baltimore Orioles
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Pete Alonso 1-3, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Jeremiah Jackson 1-2 · Gunnar Henderson 1-3
Toronto Blue Jays
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Alejandro Kirk 2-4, 1 HR, 3 RBI · Brett Bateman 1-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Andrés Giménez 2-4, 1 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.