Statball

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Seattle Mariners
1
0% — our call
Final
Toronto Blue Jays
8
100% — our call
Seattle Marinersgame flow — win probabilityToronto Blue Jays
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Jays in control. Red fill: Mariners. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Mariners · 5 H, 2 EJays · 11 H, 0 E
100%
Jays win — Statball prediction
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Kalshi price of “Jays win” — pays $1 if they do
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our live number minus theirs
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pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9J.P. Crawford flies out to left fielder Myles Straw.
top 9Taylor Ward walks.
top 9Cole Young pops out to second baseman Ernie Clement.
top 9Cal Raleigh flies out sharply to center fielder Brett Bateman.
bot 8Nathan Lukes grounds out, second baseman Cole Young to first baseman Josh Naylor.
bot 8Brett Bateman grounds out to pitcher Michael Rucker.
bot 8Brandon Valenzuela lines out softly to first baseman Josh Naylor.
top 8Josh Naylor grounds out to first baseman Vladimir Guerrero Jr.

Context the model prices

Seattle Mariners
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Dominic Canzone 2-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Cole Young 1-4 · Randy Arozarena 1-2
Toronto Blue Jays
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
George Springer 4-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Nathan Lukes 1-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Kazuma Okamoto 1-3, 1 HR, 3 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.