Statball

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Seattle Mariners
3
0% — our call
Final
Toronto Blue Jays
4
100% — our call
Seattle Marinersgame flow — win probabilityToronto Blue Jays
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Jays in control. Red fill: Mariners. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Mariners · 6 H, 0 EJays · 5 H, 0 E
100%
Jays win — Statball prediction
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Kalshi price of “Jays win” — pays $1 if they do
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our live number minus theirs
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pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9J.P. Crawford flies out to center fielder Brett Bateman.
top 9Taylor Ward strikes out swinging.
top 9Cole Young grounds out, first baseman Vladimir Guerrero Jr. to pitcher Louis Varland.
bot 8Myles Straw grounds out, first baseman Josh Naylor to pitcher Carlos Vargas.
bot 8Nathan Lukes grounds out, second baseman Cole Young to first baseman Josh Naylor.
bot 8Ernie Clement strikes out swinging.
top 8Cal Raleigh strikes out swinging.
top 8Josh Naylor singles on a line drive to right fielder Nathan Lukes. Julio Rodríguez to 3rd.

Context the model prices

Seattle Mariners
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Cal Raleigh 2-3, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Josh Naylor 2-4 · J.P. Crawford 1-4
Toronto Blue Jays
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Myles Straw 2-3 · Brett Bateman 1-3, 1 RBI · George Springer 1-3, 1 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.