Statball

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Kansas City Royals
0
0% — our call
Final
Toronto Blue Jays
3
100% — our call
Kansas City Royalsgame flow — win probabilityToronto Blue Jays
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Jays in control. Red fill: Royals. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

1234567893
Royals · 6 H, 0 EJays · 6 H, 0 E
100%
Jays win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Jays win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Isaac Collins strikes out swinging.
top 9John Rave singles on a ground ball to shortstop Andrés Giménez. Nick Loftin to 3rd.
top 9Nick Loftin doubles (21) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Brett Bateman.
top 9Vinnie Pasquantino grounds out, second baseman Ernie Clement to first baseman Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
top 9Salvador Perez pops out to first baseman Vladimir Guerrero Jr. in foul territory.
bot 8George Springer flies out to right fielder Jac Caglianone.
bot 8Alejandro Kirk flies out to right fielder Jac Caglianone.
bot 8Vladimir Guerrero Jr. grounds out, third baseman Nick Loftin to first baseman Vinnie Pasquantino.

Context the model prices

Kansas City Royals
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Carter Jensen 2-3 · Tyler Tolbert 1-2 · Nick Loftin 1-4
Toronto Blue Jays
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Nathan Lukes 1-3, 1 HR, 3 RBI · Jesús Sánchez 2-3 · Brett Bateman 1-4

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.