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Kansas City Royals
5
100% — our call
Final
Toronto Blue Jays
3
0% — our call
Kansas City Royalsgame flow — win probabilityToronto Blue Jays
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Jays in control. Red fill: Royals. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Royals · 10 H, 1 EJays · 10 H, 1 E
0%
Jays win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Jays win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Nathan Lukes singles on a line drive to left fielder Isaac Collins. Daz Cameron scores. Brett Bateman scores. Nathan Lukes out at 2nd on the throw, left fielder Isaac Collins to shortstop Bobby Witt Jr. to second baseman Tyler Tolbert.53
bot 9Brett Bateman singles on a line drive to left fielder Isaac Collins. Daz Cameron to 3rd.
bot 9Daz Cameron singles on a line drive to right fielder John Rave.
bot 9Alejandro Kirk grounds out, second baseman Tyler Tolbert to first baseman Vinnie Pasquantino.
bot 9Andrés Giménez grounds out, second baseman Tyler Tolbert to first baseman Vinnie Pasquantino.
top 9Carter Jensen flies out to left fielder Daz Cameron.
top 9Kyle Isbel singles on a ground ball to center fielder Brett Bateman. John Rave to 3rd.
top 9John Rave singles on a line drive to center fielder Brett Bateman. Tyler Tolbert scores.51

Context the model prices

Kansas City Royals
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Isaac Collins 2-4 · John Rave 2-4, 1 RBI · Carter Jensen 1-4, 1 RBI
Toronto Blue Jays
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Brett Bateman 3-5 · Andrés Giménez 2-3 · Nathan Lukes 2-4, 2 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.