Statball

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New York Yankees
1
0% — our call
Final
Toronto Blue Jays
4
100% — our call
New York Yankeesgame flow — win probabilityToronto Blue Jays
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Jays in control. Red fill: Yankees. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

1234567891112
Yankees · 4 H, 0 EJays · 10 H, 0 E
100%
Jays win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Jays win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Luis García Jr. strikes out swinging.
top 9Heliot Ramos strikes out swinging.
top 9Ben Rice strikes out swinging.
bot 8Myles Straw grounds into a force out, third baseman Ryan McMahon to second baseman Jazz Chisholm Jr. Alejandro Kirk out at 2nd.
bot 8Yerry De los Santos intentionally walks Alejandro Kirk.
bot 8Nathan Lukes grounds out, pitcher Tim Hill to first baseman Luis García Jr. Brandon Valenzuela scores. Ernie Clement to 3rd. Charles McAdoo to 2nd.14
bot 8Brett Bateman flies out to center fielder Trent Grisham.
bot 8Charles McAdoo singles on a sharp line drive to right fielder Spencer Jones. Andrés Giménez scores. Brandon Valenzuela to 3rd. Ernie Clement to 2nd.13

Context the model prices

New York Yankees
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Spencer Jones 1-3 · Austin Wells 1-3 · George Lombard Jr. 1-2, 1 RBI
Toronto Blue Jays
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Ernie Clement 2-2 · Charles McAdoo 2-4, 2 RBI · Brett Bateman 2-4

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.