Statball

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Boston Red Sox
7
100% — our call
Final
Toronto Blue Jays
0
0% — our call
Boston Red Soxgame flow — win probabilityToronto Blue Jays
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Jays in control. Red fill: Sox. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

123456789142
Sox · 10 H, 0 EJays · 2 H, 1 E
0%
Jays win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Jays win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Vladimir Guerrero Jr. strikes out swinging.
bot 9Ernie Clement walks.
bot 9Josh Smith grounds out, third baseman Caleb Durbin to first baseman Willson Contreras.
bot 9Nathan Lukes grounds out, second baseman Nick Sogard to first baseman Willson Contreras.
top 9Jarren Duran strikes out swinging.
top 9Caleb Durbin singles on a ground ball to left fielder Charles McAdoo. Ceddanne Rafaela scores. Wilyer Abreu to 2nd.70
top 9Masataka Yoshida out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Myles Straw. Nick Sogard scores. Ceddanne Rafaela to 3rd.60
top 9Willson Contreras lines out to shortstop Andrés Giménez.

Context the model prices

Boston Red Sox
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Caleb Durbin 3-5, 1 HR, 5 RBI · Ceddanne Rafaela 2-4 · Masataka Yoshida 2-3, 1 RBI
Toronto Blue Jays
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Nathan Lukes 1-3 · Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 1-4 · Ernie Clement 0-3

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.