Statball

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New York Yankees
1
0% — our call
Final
Toronto Blue Jays
3
100% — our call
New York Yankeesgame flow — win probabilityToronto Blue Jays
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Jays in control. Red fill: Yankees. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

123456789121
Yankees · 5 H, 2 EJays · 8 H, 0 E
100%
Jays win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Jays win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Jazz Chisholm Jr. flies out sharply to center fielder Brett Bateman.
top 9Luis García Jr. grounds out, shortstop Andrés Giménez to first baseman Charles McAdoo.
top 9Spencer Jones grounds out, second baseman Ernie Clement to first baseman Charles McAdoo.
bot 8Andrés Giménez bunt grounds out to first baseman Luis García Jr.
bot 8Alejandro Kirk homers (5) on a fly ball to right center field.13
bot 8George Springer called out on strikes.
bot 8Charles McAdoo strikes out swinging.
top 8Ben Rice flies out sharply to center fielder Brett Bateman.

Context the model prices

New York Yankees
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Trent Grisham 2-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Spencer Jones 1-4 · Ryan McMahon 1-3
Toronto Blue Jays
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Alejandro Kirk 2-3, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Brett Bateman 2-4 · Ernie Clement 1-3

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.