Statball

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Boston Red Sox
3
0% — our call
Final
Toronto Blue Jays
5
100% — our call
Boston Red Soxgame flow — win probabilityToronto Blue Jays
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Jays in control. Red fill: Sox. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

1234567891111211
Sox · 7 H, 1 EJays · 10 H, 0 E
100%
Jays win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Jays win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Adley Rutschman grounds out, third baseman Charles McAdoo to first baseman Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
top 9Ceddanne Rafaela grounds out, shortstop Andrés Giménez to first baseman Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
top 9Masataka Yoshida doubles (15) on a fly ball to center fielder Brett Bateman.
top 9Nick Sogard grounds out, second baseman Ernie Clement to first baseman Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
bot 8Nathan Lukes strikes out swinging.
bot 8Myles Straw doubles (12) on a line drive to left fielder Jarren Duran. Josh Smith scores. Andrés Giménez to 3rd.35
bot 8Andrés Giménez hit by pitch. Josh Smith to 2nd.
bot 8Ernie Clement pops out to shortstop Andruw Monasterio.

Context the model prices

Boston Red Sox
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Wilyer Abreu 1-3, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Ceddanne Rafaela 1-4, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Adley Rutschman 1-3
Toronto Blue Jays
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Brett Bateman 2-4, 2 RBI · Myles Straw 2-4, 1 RBI · Alejandro Kirk 2-3

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.