Statball

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Boston Red Sox
4
0% — our call
Final
Toronto Blue Jays
6
100% — our call
Boston Red Soxgame flow — win probabilityToronto Blue Jays
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Jays in control. Red fill: Sox. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

1234567891315
Sox · 8 H, 1 EJays · 12 H, 0 E
100%
Jays win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Jays win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Nick Sogard grounds out, second baseman Ernie Clement to first baseman Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
top 9Andruw Monasterio out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Brett Bateman. Caleb Durbin scores. Jarren Duran to 3rd.46
top 9Jarren Duran doubles (13) on a fly ball to right fielder Brett Bateman. Wilyer Abreu scores. Caleb Durbin to 3rd.36
top 9Caleb Durbin singles on a line drive to center fielder Myles Straw. Willson Contreras scores. Wilyer Abreu to 3rd.26
top 9Wilyer Abreu doubles (24) on a fly ball to left fielder Josh Smith. Willson Contreras to 3rd.
top 9Willson Contreras walks.
top 9Adley Rutschman called out on strikes.
bot 8Vladimir Guerrero Jr. flies out to right fielder Wilyer Abreu.

Context the model prices

Boston Red Sox
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Willson Contreras 1-3, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Caleb Durbin 2-4, 1 RBI · Wilyer Abreu 1-4
Toronto Blue Jays
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Charles McAdoo 2-5 · Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 2-5 · Myles Straw 2-4, 2 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.