Statball

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Boston Red Sox
1
0% — our call
Final
Toronto Blue Jays
2
100% — our call
Boston Red Soxgame flow — win probabilityToronto Blue Jays
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Jays in control. Red fill: Sox. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

123456789111
Sox · 6 H, 1 EJays · 7 H, 0 E
100%
Jays win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Jays win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Nick Sogard grounds out to first baseman Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
top 9Andruw Monasterio strikes out swinging, catcher Brandon Valenzuela to first baseman Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
top 9Anthony Seigler out on a sacrifice bunt, pitcher Louis Varland to first baseman Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Jarren Duran to 3rd.
top 9Jarren Duran doubles (12) on a sharp line drive to right fielder Nathan Lukes.
bot 8Ernie Clement pops out to third baseman Caleb Durbin in foul territory.
bot 8Andrés Giménez strikes out swinging.
bot 8Myles Straw grounds out, third baseman Caleb Durbin to first baseman Willson Contreras.
top 8Caleb Durbin strikes out swinging.

Context the model prices

Boston Red Sox
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Ceddanne Rafaela 2-3, 1 RBI · Anthony Seigler 1-3 · Connor Wong 1-3
Toronto Blue Jays
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Charles McAdoo 1-2, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Andrés Giménez 1-4, 1 RBI · Brandon Valenzuela 1-3

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.