Statball

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St. Louis Cardinals
5
100% — our call
Final
Toronto Blue Jays
1
0% — our call
St. Louis Cardinalsgame flow — win probabilityToronto Blue Jays
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Jays in control. Red fill: Cardinals. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

123456789141
Cardinals · 8 H, 1 EJays · 5 H, 1 E
0%
Jays win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Jays win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Ernie Clement grounds out, shortstop Masyn Winn to first baseman Alec Burleson.
bot 9George Springer lines out to center fielder Nathan Church.
bot 9Kazuma Okamoto singles on a fly ball to center fielder Nathan Church. Kazuma Okamoto to 2nd. Kazuma Okamoto advances to 2nd, on a fielding error by center fielder Nathan Church.
top 9Alec Burleson flies out to left fielder George Springer.
top 9Jordan Walker singles on a line drive to left fielder George Springer. Blaze Jordan scores. Lars Nootbaar scores.51
top 9Lars Nootbaar reaches on a throwing error by second baseman Luis Urías. Bryan Torres scores. Blaze Jordan to 3rd. Lars Nootbaar to 2nd.31
top 9Blaze Jordan grounds into a force out, first baseman Kazuma Okamoto to shortstop Andrés Giménez. Bryan Torres to 3rd. José Fermín out at 2nd. Blaze Jordan to 1st.
top 9Nathan Church bunt pops out softly to catcher Alejandro Kirk in foul territory.

Context the model prices

St. Louis Cardinals
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Jordan Walker 2-5, 2 RBI · Bryan Torres 1-4 · Nathan Church 1-3
Toronto Blue Jays
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Luis Urías 1-3, 1 RBI · George Springer 1-4 · Andrés Giménez 1-3

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.