Statball

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Tampa Bay Rays
4
100% — our call
Final
Toronto Blue Jays
2
0% — our call
Tampa Bay Raysgame flow — win probabilityToronto Blue Jays
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Jays in control. Red fill: Rays. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Rays · 8 H, 1 EJays · 4 H, 1 E
0%
Jays win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Jays win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Luis Urías flies out to left fielder Chandler Simpson.
bot 9George Springer called out on strikes.
bot 9Vladimir Guerrero Jr. grounds out sharply, third baseman Junior Caminero to first baseman Jonathan Aranda.
top 9Yandy Díaz grounds into a double play, shortstop Andrés Giménez to first baseman Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Nick Fortes out at 2nd. Yandy Díaz out at 1st.
top 9Nick Fortes singles on a ground ball to second baseman Ernie Clement.
top 9Ben Williamson grounds out, shortstop Andrés Giménez to first baseman Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
bot 8Nathan Lukes grounds out, pitcher Kevin Kelly to first baseman Jonathan Aranda.
bot 8Ernie Clement grounds out, shortstop Taylor Walls to first baseman Jonathan Aranda.

Context the model prices

Tampa Bay Rays
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Taylor Walls 2-4 · Victor Mesa Jr. 2-3, 2 RBI · Junior Caminero 2-4
Toronto Blue Jays
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Alejandro Kirk 2-3, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Yohendrick Piñango 1-2 · Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 1-4

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.