Statball

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New York Mets
3
0% — our call
Final
Toronto Blue Jays
9
100% — our call
New York Metsgame flow — win probabilityToronto Blue Jays
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Jays in control. Red fill: Mets. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Mets · 5 H, 0 EJays · 12 H, 0 E
100%
Jays win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Jays win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Francisco Alvarez strikes out swinging.
top 9A.J. Ewing flies out to center fielder Daulton Varsho.
top 9Francisco Lindor homers (4) on a fly ball to left field.39
top 9Ronny Mauricio strikes out swinging.
bot 8Vladimir Guerrero Jr. grounds out, third baseman Ronny Mauricio to first baseman Jared Young.
bot 8Nathan Lukes lines out to left fielder Tyrone Taylor.
bot 8Andrés Giménez grounds out, pitcher A.J. Minter to first baseman Jared Young.
top 8Juan Soto strikes out swinging.

Context the model prices

New York Mets
7 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 20 batters faced over the last two days
Carson Benge 2-4, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Francisco Lindor 1-3, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Tyrone Taylor 1-3
Toronto Blue Jays
9 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 22 batters faced over the last two days
Sean Keys 1-4, 1 HR, 3 RBI · Myles Straw 1-1, 1 HR, 3 RBI · Ernie Clement 2-4, 1 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.