Statball

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New York Mets
1
0% — our call
Final
Toronto Blue Jays
2
100% — our call
New York Metsgame flow — win probabilityToronto Blue Jays
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Jays in control. Red fill: Mets. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Mets · 5 H, 2 EJays · 4 H, 1 E
100%
Jays win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Jays win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Ronny Mauricio strikes out swinging.
top 9Mark Vientos strikes out swinging.
top 9A.J. Ewing walks. Jared Young to 2nd.
top 9Jared Young singles on a ground ball to second baseman Ernie Clement.
top 9Francisco Lindor lines out to left fielder Myles Straw.
bot 8Brandon Valenzuela strikes out swinging.
bot 8Ernie Clement flies out to right fielder Carson Benge.
bot 8Kazuma Okamoto called out on strikes.

Context the model prices

New York Mets
7 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 51 batters faced over the last two days
Francisco Lindor 1-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Francisco Alvarez 1-3 · Carson Benge 1-4
Toronto Blue Jays
9 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 36 batters faced over the last two days
Luis Urías 1-2 · Ernie Clement 1-3 · George Springer 1-4

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.