Statball

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New York Mets
3
100% — our call
Final
Toronto Blue Jays
0
0% — our call
New York Metsgame flow — win probabilityToronto Blue Jays
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Jays in control. Red fill: Mets. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

123456789111
Mets · 7 H, 0 EJays · 6 H, 1 E
0%
Jays win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Jays win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Myles Straw grounds out, third baseman Bo Bichette to first baseman Jared Young.
bot 9Luis Urías singles on a line drive to right fielder Carson Benge.
bot 9Daulton Varsho pops out to third baseman Bo Bichette in foul territory.
top 9Luis Torrens walks.
top 9Brett Baty out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Daulton Varsho. A.J. Ewing scores.30
top 9Francisco Alvarez grounds out, third baseman Ernie Clement to first baseman Sean Keys. A.J. Ewing to 3rd.
top 9A.J. Ewing singles on a line drive to center fielder Daulton Varsho.
bot 8Sean Keys pops out to third baseman Bo Bichette.

Context the model prices

New York Mets
7 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 45 batters faced over the last two days
Luis Torrens 1-3, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Francisco Alvarez 1-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Bo Bichette 1-4
Toronto Blue Jays
9 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 25 batters faced over the last two days
Luis Urías 2-3 · Daulton Varsho 1-4 · Yohendrick Piñango 1-2

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.