Statball

← All live games · Rogers Centre

Houston Astros
3
100% — our call
Final
Toronto Blue Jays
1
0% — our call
Houston Astrosgame flow — win probabilityToronto Blue Jays
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Jays in control. Red fill: Astros. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

1234567891111
Astros · 4 H, 0 EJays · 4 H, 2 E
0%
Jays win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Jays win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Kazuma Okamoto strikes out swinging.
bot 9Vladimir Guerrero Jr. walks.
bot 9Myles Straw grounds out, pitcher Josh Hader to first baseman Isaac Paredes.
top 9Isaac Paredes grounds into a force out, third baseman Kazuma Okamoto to second baseman Luis Urías. Jeremy Peña out at 2nd.
top 9Jeremy Peña singles on a ground ball to shortstop Ernie Clement. Brice Matthews scores. Yordan Alvarez to 2nd.31
top 9Yordan Alvarez grounds into a force out, shortstop Ernie Clement to second baseman Luis Urías. Brice Matthews to 3rd. Jose Altuve out at 2nd. Yordan Alvarez to 1st.
top 9Jose Altuve walks.
top 9Raynel Delgado out on a sacrifice bunt, pitcher Mason Fluharty to first baseman Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Brice Matthews to 2nd.

Context the model prices

Houston Astros
10 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 52 batters faced over the last two days
Isaac Paredes 1-5, 1 RBI · Joey Loperfido 1-3 · Jeremy Peña 1-3, 1 RBI
Toronto Blue Jays
8 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 44 batters faced over the last two days
Nathan Lukes 1-3, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Daulton Varsho 2-4 · Luis Urías 1-2

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.