Statball

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Houston Astros
2
0% — our call
Final
Toronto Blue Jays
4
100% — our call
Houston Astrosgame flow — win probabilityToronto Blue Jays
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Jays in control. Red fill: Astros. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Astros · 5 H, 1 EJays · 11 H, 0 E
100%
Jays win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Jays win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Taylor Trammell called out on strikes.
top 9Joey Loperfido grounds into a double play, shortstop Andrés Giménez to second baseman Ernie Clement to first baseman Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Yainer Diaz out at 2nd. Joey Loperfido out at 1st.
top 9Yainer Diaz walks.
bot 8Daulton Varsho grounds into a double play, shortstop Raynel Delgado to first baseman Christian Walker. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. out at 2nd. Daulton Varsho out at 1st.
bot 8Alejandro Kirk out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Yordan Alvarez. George Springer scores.24
bot 8Vladimir Guerrero Jr. singles on a line drive to left fielder Yordan Alvarez. George Springer to 3rd. Nathan Lukes to 2nd.
bot 8Nathan Lukes singles on a fly ball to left fielder Yordan Alvarez, deflected by center fielder Jake Meyers. George Springer to 2nd.
bot 8George Springer singles on a sharp ground ball to center fielder Jake Meyers.

Context the model prices

Houston Astros
10 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 22 batters faced over the last two days
Isaac Paredes 1-3, 1 RBI · Brice Matthews 1-2 · Jose Altuve 1-3, 1 RBI
Toronto Blue Jays
9 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 24 batters faced over the last two days
Kazuma Okamoto 2-3, 1 HR, 1 RBI · George Springer 2-4 · Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 2-4, 1 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.