Statball

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New York Yankees
8
100% — our call
Final
Toronto Blue Jays
3
0% — our call
New York Yankeesgame flow — win probabilityToronto Blue Jays
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Jays in control. Red fill: Yankees. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Yankees · 12 H, 1 EJays · 11 H, 1 E
0%
Jays win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Jays win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Alejandro Kirk lines out to shortstop Anthony Volpe.
bot 9Nathan Lukes doubles (7) on a line drive to left fielder José Caballero. Davis Schneider to 3rd.
bot 9George Springer flies out to center fielder Spencer Jones.
bot 9Charles McAdoo lines out to second baseman Jazz Chisholm Jr.
bot 9Davis Schneider singles on a sharp ground ball to center fielder Spencer Jones, deflected by shortstop Anthony Volpe.
top 9Max Schuemann flies out to center fielder Myles Straw.
top 9José Caballero homers (6) on a fly ball to center field. Jasson Domínguez scores. Jazz Chisholm Jr. scores.83
top 9Jazz Chisholm Jr. walks. Jasson Domínguez to 2nd.

Context the model prices

New York Yankees
6 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 28 batters faced over the last two days
Ben Rice 2-5, 1 HR, 2 RBI · José Caballero 1-5, 1 HR, 3 RBI · Paul Goldschmidt 3-5
Toronto Blue Jays
10 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 26 batters faced over the last two days
Davis Schneider 2-3, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Nathan Lukes 3-5, 1 RBI · George Springer 2-5

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.