Statball

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New York Yankees
3
100% — our call
Final
Toronto Blue Jays
1
0% — our call
New York Yankeesgame flow — win probabilityToronto Blue Jays
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Jays in control. Red fill: Yankees. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Yankees · 5 H, 0 EJays · 6 H, 1 E
0%
Jays win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Jays win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Nathan Lukes strikes out swinging.
bot 9George Springer strikes out swinging.
bot 9Andrés Giménez strikes out swinging.
top 9José Caballero strikes out swinging.
top 9Spencer Jones grounds out, second baseman Ernie Clement to first baseman Charles McAdoo.
top 9Jazz Chisholm Jr. lines out sharply to center fielder Myles Straw.
top 9Paul Goldschmidt homers (9) on a fly ball to left field. Cody Bellinger scores.31
top 9Cody Bellinger singles on a line drive to center fielder Myles Straw.

Context the model prices

New York Yankees
6 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 19 batters faced over the last two days
Paul Goldschmidt 1-4, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Jasson Domínguez 1-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Ben Rice 1-4
Toronto Blue Jays
10 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 16 batters faced over the last two days
Kazuma Okamoto 1-3, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Ernie Clement 1-4 · Charles McAdoo 1-4

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.