Statball

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New York Yankees
5
0% — our call
Final
Toronto Blue Jays
8
100% — our call
New York Yankeesgame flow — win probabilityToronto Blue Jays
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Jays in control. Red fill: Yankees. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Yankees · 7 H, 0 EJays · 10 H, 0 E
100%
Jays win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Jays win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Jazz Chisholm Jr. called out on strikes.
top 9Cody Bellinger grounds out, shortstop Andrés Giménez to first baseman Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
top 9Paul Goldschmidt strikes out swinging.
bot 8Vladimir Guerrero Jr. called out on strikes.
bot 8Ernie Clement doubles (20) on a fly ball to right fielder Max Schuemann. George Springer scores.58
bot 8George Springer walks.
bot 8Andrés Giménez grounds out, shortstop José Caballero to first baseman Paul Goldschmidt.
bot 8Yohendrick Piñango strikes out swinging.

Context the model prices

New York Yankees
6 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 12 batters faced over the last two days
Cody Bellinger 1-5, 1 HR, 2 RBI · José Caballero 2-3 · Paul Goldschmidt 1-4, 1 RBI
Toronto Blue Jays
10 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 24 batters faced over the last two days
George Springer 1-2, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Alejandro Kirk 3-3, 2 RBI · Kazuma Okamoto 1-4, 1 HR, 2 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.