Statball

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Philadelphia Phillies
5
100% — our call
Final
Toronto Blue Jays
2
0% — our call
Philadelphia Philliesgame flow — win probabilityToronto Blue Jays
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Jays in control. Red fill: Phillies. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Phillies · 7 H, 1 EJays · 6 H, 1 E
0%
Jays win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Jays win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Brandon Valenzuela grounds out to first baseman Bryce Harper.
bot 9Jesús Sánchez grounds out to first baseman Bryce Harper. Andrés Giménez to 3rd.
bot 9Andrés Giménez doubles (9) on a line drive to left fielder Brandon Marsh.
bot 9Ernie Clement grounds out, third baseman Alec Bohm to first baseman Bryce Harper.
top 9Trea Turner grounds into a double play, second baseman Ernie Clement to first baseman Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Kyle Schwarber out at 2nd. Trea Turner out at 1st.
top 9Kyle Schwarber singles on a line drive to center fielder Myles Straw. Justin Crawford to 2nd.
top 9Justin Crawford singles on a soft ground ball to pitcher Tommy Nance.
top 9Adolis García strikes out swinging.

Context the model prices

Philadelphia Phillies
1 on the injured list · bullpen threw 34 batters faced over the last two days
Adolis García 1-4, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Justin Crawford 1-1 · J.T. Realmuto 1-4, 1 RBI
Toronto Blue Jays
12 on the injured list (2 stars) · bullpen threw 46 batters faced over the last two days
Ernie Clement 2-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Andrés Giménez 1-4 · Nathan Lukes 1-4

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.