Statball

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Baltimore Orioles
4
0% — our call
Final
Toronto Blue Jays
6
100% — our call
Baltimore Oriolesgame flow — win probabilityToronto Blue Jays
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Jays in control. Red fill: Orioles. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Orioles · 8 H, 1 EJays · 10 H, 0 E
100%
Jays win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Jays win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Blaze Alexander called out on strikes.
top 9Jackson Holliday grounds out softly to pitcher Louis Varland. Colton Cowser to 2nd.
top 9Tyler O'Neill flies out to center fielder Daulton Varsho.
top 9Colton Cowser singles on a soft ground ball to third baseman Kazuma Okamoto.
bot 8Nathan Lukes grounds out, shortstop Gunnar Henderson to first baseman Pete Alonso.
bot 8Andrés Giménez grounds out to first baseman Pete Alonso.
bot 8Kazuma Okamoto pops out to first baseman Pete Alonso.
bot 8Brandon Valenzuela homers (7) on a fly ball to right field.46

Context the model prices

Baltimore Orioles
8 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 24 batters faced over the last two days
Colton Cowser 2-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Taylor Ward 1-4, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Blaze Alexander 2-4, 1 RBI
Toronto Blue Jays
13 on the injured list (2 stars) · bullpen threw 50 batters faced over the last two days
Yohendrick Piñango 2-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Brandon Valenzuela 1-3, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Andrés Giménez 2-4, 1 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.