Statball

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Baltimore Orioles
4
0% — our call
Final
Toronto Blue Jays
6
100% — our call
Baltimore Oriolesgame flow — win probabilityToronto Blue Jays
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Jays in control. Red fill: Orioles. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Orioles · 6 H, 0 EJays · 12 H, 0 E
100%
Jays win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Jays win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Blaze Alexander grounds out sharply, second baseman Ernie Clement to first baseman Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
top 9Samuel Basallo grounds out, first baseman Vladimir Guerrero Jr. to pitcher Louis Varland.
top 9Leody Taveras lines out to right fielder Nathan Lukes.
bot 8Myles Straw grounds out, shortstop Gunnar Henderson to first baseman Pete Alonso.
bot 8Andrés Giménez strikes out swinging.
bot 8Kazuma Okamoto strikes out swinging.
bot 8Brandon Valenzuela doubles (5) on a fly ball to left fielder Blaze Alexander.
top 8Coby Mayo strikes out swinging.

Context the model prices

Baltimore Orioles
8 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 21 batters faced over the last two days
Gunnar Henderson 3-4 · Blaze Alexander 1-3, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Pete Alonso 1-4, 1 HR, 2 RBI
Toronto Blue Jays
13 on the injured list (2 stars) · bullpen threw 48 batters faced over the last two days
Ernie Clement 2-4, 1 HR, 3 RBI · Brandon Valenzuela 3-3, 1 RBI · Andrés Giménez 2-4, 1 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.