Statball

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Miami Marlins
1
0% — our call
Final
Toronto Blue Jays
2
100% — our call
Miami Marlinsgame flow — win probabilityToronto Blue Jays
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Jays in control. Red fill: Marlins. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Marlins · 11 H, 0 EJays · 5 H, 0 E
100%
Jays win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Jays win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Graham Pauley lines out to center fielder Daulton Varsho.
top 9Esteury Ruiz flies out to right fielder Nathan Lukes.
top 9Javier Sanoja pops out to second baseman Ernie Clement.
bot 8George Springer grounds out, shortstop Otto Lopez to first baseman Graham Pauley.
bot 8Daulton Varsho grounds out, first baseman Graham Pauley to pitcher Pete Fairbanks.
bot 8Vladimir Guerrero Jr. strikes out swinging.
top 8Connor Norby called out on strikes and Jakob Marsee caught stealing 2nd, catcher Tyler Heineman to second baseman Ernie Clement to catcher Tyler Heineman.
top 8Jakob Marsee grounds into a force out, pitcher Louis Varland to shortstop Andrés Giménez. Otto Lopez to 3rd. Kyle Stowers out at 2nd. Jakob Marsee to 1st.

Context the model prices

Miami Marlins
4 on the injured list · bullpen threw 25 batters faced over the last two days
Otto Lopez 4-4, 1 RBI · Xavier Edwards 3-3 · Heriberto Hernández 1-1
Toronto Blue Jays
12 on the injured list (2 stars) · bullpen threw 42 batters faced over the last two days
Kazuma Okamoto 1-2, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 2-3 · Andrés Giménez 1-3

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.