Statball

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Baltimore Orioles
13
100% — our call
Final
Toronto Blue Jays
3
0% — our call
Baltimore Oriolesgame flow — win probabilityToronto Blue Jays
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Jays in control. Red fill: Orioles. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Orioles · 13 H, 1 EJays · 8 H, 1 E
0%
Jays win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Jays win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Kazuma Okamoto strikes out swinging.
bot 9Jesús Sánchez flies out sharply to center fielder Leody Taveras.
bot 9Ernie Clement pops out to first baseman Pete Alonso in foul territory.
bot 9Yohendrick Piñango singles on a ground ball to left fielder Taylor Ward, deflected by third baseman Coby Mayo.
top 9Jackson Holliday lines out to second baseman Ernie Clement.
top 9Leody Taveras reaches on a throwing error by third baseman Kazuma Okamoto. Adley Rutschman scores. Pete Alonso scores. Colton Cowser to 3rd.133
top 9Colton Cowser singles on a ground ball to shortstop Andrés Giménez. Adley Rutschman to 3rd. Pete Alonso to 2nd.
top 9Coby Mayo called out on strikes.

Context the model prices

Baltimore Orioles
8 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 38 batters faced over the last two days
Adley Rutschman 4-4, 1 HR, 5 RBI · Coby Mayo 1-5, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Jeremiah Jackson 2-3, 2 RBI
Toronto Blue Jays
13 on the injured list (2 stars) · bullpen threw 40 batters faced over the last two days
Brandon Valenzuela 1-3, 1 HR, 2 RBI · George Springer 2-3 · Kazuma Okamoto 2-4

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.