Statball

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Miami Marlins
8
100% — our call
Final
Toronto Blue Jays
2
0% — our call
Miami Marlinsgame flow — win probabilityToronto Blue Jays
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Jays in control. Red fill: Marlins. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Marlins · 9 H, 0 EJays · 10 H, 0 E
0%
Jays win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Jays win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Yohendrick Piñango grounds out, second baseman Xavier Edwards to first baseman Liam Hicks.
bot 9Nathan Lukes called out on strikes.
bot 9George Springer grounds out, shortstop Otto Lopez to first baseman Liam Hicks. Lenyn Sosa to 2nd.
bot 9Lenyn Sosa walks.
top 9Otto Lopez grounds out, third baseman Kazuma Okamoto to first baseman Lenyn Sosa.
top 9Liam Hicks grounds out softly, pitcher Tanner Andrews to first baseman Lenyn Sosa.
top 9Xavier Edwards flies out to center fielder Myles Straw.
bot 8Brandon Valenzuela flies out to right fielder Owen Caissie.

Context the model prices

Miami Marlins
4 on the injured list · bullpen threw 29 batters faced over the last two days
Javier Sanoja 2-4, 2 RBI · Kyle Stowers 2-4, 2 RBI · Owen Caissie 2-4, 2 RBI
Toronto Blue Jays
11 on the injured list (2 stars) · bullpen threw 31 batters faced over the last two days
Ernie Clement 2-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Nathan Lukes 3-4 · Lenyn Sosa 1-3

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.