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Pittsburgh Pirates
4
100% — our call
Final
Toronto Blue Jays
1
0% — our call
Pittsburgh Piratesgame flow — win probabilityToronto Blue Jays
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Jays in control. Red fill: Pirates. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

1234567891121
Pirates · 6 H, 0 EJays · 5 H, 0 E
0%
Jays win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Jays win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Daulton Varsho strikes out swinging.
bot 9George Springer pops out to shortstop Jared Triolo on the infield fly rule.
bot 9Brandon Valenzuela walks. Andrés Giménez to 2nd.
bot 9Andrés Giménez hit by pitch.
bot 9Ernie Clement pops out to first baseman Spencer Horwitz in foul territory.
top 9Spencer Horwitz grounds out, second baseman Ernie Clement to first baseman Lenyn Sosa.
top 9Jared Triolo strikes out swinging.
top 9Jake Mangum hit by pitch.

Context the model prices

Pittsburgh Pirates
2 on the injured list · bullpen threw 25 batters faced over the last two days
Spencer Horwitz 1-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Oneil Cruz 1-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Esmerlyn Valdez 1-3, 1 HR, 2 RBI
Toronto Blue Jays
11 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 22 batters faced over the last two days
Ernie Clement 1-4, 1 RBI · Daulton Varsho 1-5 · Brandon Valenzuela 1-2

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.