Statball

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Pittsburgh Pirates
2
0% — our call
Final
Toronto Blue Jays
5
100% — our call
Pittsburgh Piratesgame flow — win probabilityToronto Blue Jays
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Jays in control. Red fill: Pirates. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Pirates · 5 H, 1 EJays · 11 H, 1 E
100%
Jays win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Jays win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Endy Rodríguez strikes out swinging.
top 9Oneil Cruz strikes out swinging.
top 9Brandon Lowe strikes out on a foul tip.
bot 8Ernie Clement strikes out swinging.
bot 8Myles Straw grounds out, third baseman Nick Gonzales to first baseman Spencer Horwitz.
bot 8Davis Schneider lines out to center fielder Oneil Cruz.
top 8Jhostynxon Garcia grounds out softly, pitcher Adam Macko to first baseman Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
top 8Spencer Horwitz hit by pitch.

Context the model prices

Pittsburgh Pirates
2 on the injured list · bullpen threw 25 batters faced over the last two days
Bryan Reynolds 2-3 · Spencer Horwitz 1-3 · Jhostynxon Garcia 1-3
Toronto Blue Jays
11 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 36 batters faced over the last two days
George Springer 2-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Tyler Heineman 1-3, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Yohendrick Piñango 2-3

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.