Statball

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Boston Red Sox
0
0% — our call
Final
Toronto Blue Jays
3
100% — our call
Boston Red Soxgame flow — win probabilityToronto Blue Jays
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Jays in control. Red fill: Sox. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

12345678921
Sox · 4 H, 0 EJays · 6 H, 0 E
100%
Jays win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Jays win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Trevor Story strikes out swinging.
top 9Wilyer Abreu strikes out swinging.
top 9Roman Anthony strikes out swinging.
bot 8Davis Schneider grounds into a double play, pitcher Ryan Watson to shortstop Trevor Story to first baseman Willson Contreras. Daulton Varsho out at 2nd. Davis Schneider out at 1st.
bot 8Jesús Sánchez pops out to third baseman Caleb Durbin.
bot 8Daulton Varsho singles on a line drive to center fielder Jarren Duran.
top 8Willson Contreras grounds out, second baseman Ernie Clement to first baseman Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
top 8Jarren Duran called out on strikes.

Context the model prices

Boston Red Sox
4 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 13 batters faced over the last two days
Willson Contreras 1-4 · Trevor Story 1-4 · Masataka Yoshida 1-3
Toronto Blue Jays
10 on the injured list · bullpen threw 31 batters faced over the last two days
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 2-3, 1 RBI · Daulton Varsho 1-4 · Andrés Giménez 1-3

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.