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Boston Red Sox
5
100% — our call
Final
Toronto Blue Jays
0
0% — our call
Boston Red Soxgame flow — win probabilityToronto Blue Jays
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Jays in control. Red fill: Sox. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

1234567891211
Sox · 9 H, 0 EJays · 2 H, 1 E
0%
Jays win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Jays win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Ernie Clement pops out to first baseman Willson Contreras in foul territory.
bot 9Daulton Varsho doubles (5) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Ceddanne Rafaela.
bot 9Tyler Heineman grounds out, shortstop Trevor Story to first baseman Willson Contreras.
bot 9Yohendrick Piñango flies out to center fielder Ceddanne Rafaela.
top 9Wilyer Abreu flies out to left fielder Davis Schneider.
top 9Roman Anthony walks.
top 9Willson Contreras pops out to third baseman Kazuma Okamoto.
top 9Jarren Duran grounds out, second baseman Lenyn Sosa to first baseman Vladimir Guerrero Jr.

Context the model prices

Boston Red Sox
4 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 21 batters faced over the last two days
Carlos Narváez 1-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Wilyer Abreu 2-4, 1 RBI · Marcelo Mayer 2-3, 1 RBI
Toronto Blue Jays
11 on the injured list · bullpen threw 29 batters faced over the last two days
Daulton Varsho 1-1 · Jesús Sánchez 1-3 · Lenyn Sosa 0-3

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.