Statball

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Minnesota Twins
8
100% — our call
Final
Toronto Blue Jays
2
0% — our call
Minnesota Twinsgame flow — win probabilityToronto Blue Jays
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Jays in control. Red fill: Twins. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Twins · 8 H, 0 EJays · 12 H, 0 E
0%
Jays win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Jays win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Kazuma Okamoto grounds into a double play, shortstop Brooks Lee to second baseman Luke Keaschall to first baseman Kody Clemens. Jesús Sánchez out at 2nd. Kazuma Okamoto out at 1st.
bot 9Jesús Sánchez singles on a sharp ground ball to left fielder Austin Martin.
bot 9Vladimir Guerrero Jr. grounds out, second baseman Luke Keaschall to first baseman Kody Clemens.
top 9Kody Clemens strikes out swinging.
top 9James Outman pops out to second baseman Ernie Clement.
bot 8Daulton Varsho flies out to right fielder Matt Wallner.
bot 8Ernie Clement singles on a sharp line drive to left fielder Trevor Larnach. Eloy Jiménez to 3rd. Andrés Giménez to 2nd.
bot 8Brandon Valenzuela flies out to right fielder Matt Wallner.

Context the model prices

Minnesota Twins
4 on the injured list · bullpen threw 31 batters faced over the last two days
Kody Clemens 1-5, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Tristan Gray 1-3, 1 HR, 3 RBI · Luke Keaschall 2-4
Toronto Blue Jays
9 on the injured list · bullpen threw 29 batters faced over the last two days
Ernie Clement 3-5 · Daulton Varsho 3-5, 1 RBI · Andrés Giménez 2-4

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.