Statball

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Minnesota Twins
4
0% — our call
Final
Toronto Blue Jays
10
100% — our call
Minnesota Twinsgame flow — win probabilityToronto Blue Jays
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Jays in control. Red fill: Twins. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Twins · 7 H, 1 EJays · 14 H, 0 E
100%
Jays win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Jays win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Austin Martin called out on strikes.
top 9Byron Buxton called out on strikes.
top 9Tristan Gray grounds out sharply, second baseman Ernie Clement to first baseman Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
bot 8Myles Straw grounds out, second baseman Luke Keaschall to first baseman Josh Bell.
bot 8Vladimir Guerrero Jr. doubles (3) on a sharp line drive to left fielder Austin Martin. Brandon Valenzuela scores.410
bot 8Daulton Varsho pops out to third baseman Tristan Gray in foul territory.
bot 8George Springer flies out to center fielder Byron Buxton.
bot 8Brandon Valenzuela singles on a ground ball to third baseman Tristan Gray.

Context the model prices

Minnesota Twins
2 on the injured list · bullpen threw 31 batters faced over the last two days
Ryan Jeffers 3-3, 1 HR, 3 RBI · Brooks Lee 1-3, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Austin Martin 2-4
Toronto Blue Jays
8 on the injured list · bullpen threw 18 batters faced over the last two days
Daulton Varsho 2-5, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Brandon Valenzuela 2-4, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 3-5, 1 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.