Statball

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Minnesota Twins
7
100% — our call
Final
Toronto Blue Jays
4
0% — our call
Minnesota Twinsgame flow — win probabilityToronto Blue Jays
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Jays in control. Red fill: Twins. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

123456789722
Twins · 6 H, 0 EJays · 5 H, 0 E
0%
Jays win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Jays win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Ernie Clement grounds out, third baseman Ryan Kreidler to first baseman Victor Caratini.
bot 9Nathan Lukes lines out to first baseman Victor Caratini.
bot 9Davis Schneider grounds out, third baseman Ryan Kreidler to first baseman Victor Caratini.
bot 9Jesús Sánchez homers (2) on a fly ball to right center field. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. scores.74
bot 9Vladimir Guerrero Jr. singles on a sharp ground ball to center fielder Byron Buxton.
top 9Byron Buxton strikes out swinging.
top 9Ryan Kreidler lines out to right fielder Nathan Lukes.
top 9Brooks Lee grounds out, second baseman Davis Schneider to first baseman Vladimir Guerrero Jr.

Context the model prices

Minnesota Twins
4 on the injured list · bullpen threw 32 batters faced over the last two days
Brooks Lee 2-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Trevor Larnach 1-3, 1 HR, 3 RBI · Austin Martin 1-2
Toronto Blue Jays
8 on the injured list · bullpen threw 17 batters faced over the last two days
Daulton Varsho 1-4, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Jesús Sánchez 1-4, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 2-4

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.