Statball

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New York Mets
7
100% — our call
Final
Texas Rangers
2
0% — our call
New York Metsgame flow — win probabilityTexas Rangers
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Rangers in control. Red fill: Mets. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

1234567892142
Mets · 8 H, 0 ERangers · 4 H, 1 E
0%
Rangers win — Statball prediction
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Kalshi price of “Rangers win” — pays $1 if they do
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our live number minus theirs
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pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Ezequiel Duran grounds into a force out, shortstop Francisco Lindor to second baseman Marcus Semien. Brandon Nimmo out at 2nd.
bot 9Brandon Nimmo grounds into a force out, first baseman Brett Baty to shortstop Francisco Lindor. Josh Jung out at 2nd. Brandon Nimmo to 1st.
bot 9Josh Jung singles on a sharp ground ball to left fielder Nick Morabito.
bot 9Corey Seager grounds out, second baseman Marcus Semien to first baseman Brett Baty.
top 9Carson Benge called out on strikes.
top 9Brett Baty hits a grand slam (11) to right center field. Nick Morabito scores. Juan Soto scores. Bo Bichette scores.7–2
top 9Bo Bichette walks. Nick Morabito to 3rd. Juan Soto to 2nd.
top 9Jordan Montgomery intentionally walks Juan Soto.

Context the model prices

New York Mets
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Brett Baty 1-1, 1 HR, 4 RBI · Marcus Semien 1-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Juan Soto 1-2, 1 HR, 2 RBI
Texas Rangers
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Jake Burger 1-3, 1 RBI · Nicky Lopez 1-3 · Josh Jung 1-4

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.