Statball

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New York Mets
1
0% — our call
Final
Texas Rangers
3
100% — our call
New York Metsgame flow — win probabilityTexas Rangers
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Rangers in control. Red fill: Mets. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

123456789121
Mets · 4 H, 0 ERangers · 7 H, 0 E
100%
Rangers win — Statball prediction
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Kalshi price of “Rangers win” — pays $1 if they do
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our live number minus theirs
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pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Carson Benge strikes out swinging.
top 9Bo Bichette grounds out, shortstop Corey Seager to first baseman Jake Burger.
top 9Juan Soto grounds out, third baseman Ezequiel Duran to first baseman Jake Burger.
bot 8Jake Burger grounds into a double play, shortstop Francisco Lindor to second baseman Marcus Semien to first baseman Brett Baty. Nicky Lopez out at 2nd. Jake Burger out at 1st.
bot 8Josh Jung singles on a line drive to right fielder Carson Benge. Evan Carter to 2nd.
bot 8Corey Seager strikes out on a foul tip.
bot 8Evan Carter walks.
top 8Francisco Lindor flies out to center fielder Evan Carter.

Context the model prices

New York Mets
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Brett Baty 1-3 · Carson Benge 1-4, 1 RBI · Nick Morabito 1-3
Texas Rangers
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Josh Jung 3-3, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Corey Seager 1-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Wyatt Langford 2-3

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.