Statball

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Boston Red Sox
4
100% — our call
Final
Texas Rangers
3
0% — our call
Boston Red Soxgame flow — win probabilityTexas Rangers
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Rangers in control. Red fill: Sox. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

1234567891312
Sox · 5 H, 0 ERangers · 4 H, 1 E
0%
Rangers win — Statball prediction
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Kalshi price of “Rangers win” — pays $1 if they do
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our live number minus theirs
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pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Jake Burger grounds into a double play, shortstop Trevor Story to second baseman Isiah Kiner-Falefa to first baseman Nick Sogard. Wyatt Langford out at 2nd. Jake Burger out at 1st.
bot 9Wyatt Langford walks.
bot 9Brandon Nimmo grounds out to first baseman Nick Sogard.
top 9Mickey Gasper pops out to first baseman Jake Burger.
top 9Roman Anthony grounds out sharply, second baseman Nicky Lopez to first baseman Jake Burger.
top 9Nick Sogard flies out to right fielder Brandon Nimmo.
bot 8Josh Jung grounds into a double play, shortstop Trevor Story to second baseman Isiah Kiner-Falefa to first baseman Nick Sogard. Corey Seager out at 2nd. Josh Jung out at 1st.
bot 8Corey Seager singles on a sharp line drive to right fielder Wilyer Abreu.

Context the model prices

Boston Red Sox
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Trevor Story 2-4, 1 HR, 3 RBI · Willson Contreras 1-3 · Adley Rutschman 1-4
Texas Rangers
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Josh Jung 1-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Danny Jansen 2-3, 1 RBI · Corey Seager 1-4

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.