Statball

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Boston Red Sox
3
0% — our call
Final
Texas Rangers
7
100% — our call
Boston Red Soxgame flow — win probabilityTexas Rangers
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Rangers in control. Red fill: Sox. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

1234567892111131
Sox · 3 H, 1 ERangers · 13 H, 0 E
100%
Rangers win — Statball prediction
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Kalshi price of “Rangers win” — pays $1 if they do
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our live number minus theirs
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pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Caleb Durbin lines out to second baseman Nicky Lopez.
top 9Adley Rutschman grounds out, second baseman Nicky Lopez to first baseman Jake Burger.
top 9Willson Contreras grounds out, shortstop Corey Seager to first baseman Jake Burger.
bot 8Jake Burger grounds out, shortstop Trevor Story to first baseman Willson Contreras.
bot 8Josh Jung doubles (25) on a line drive to left fielder Roman Anthony. Corey Seager to 3rd.
bot 8Corey Seager singles on a line drive to right fielder Wilyer Abreu. Alejandro Osuna scores.3–7
bot 8Justin Foscue flies out to center fielder Jarren Duran.
bot 8Danny Jansen out on a sacrifice bunt, pitcher Raymond Burgos to first baseman Willson Contreras. Alejandro Osuna to 2nd.

Context the model prices

Boston Red Sox
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Willson Contreras 1-3, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Trevor Story 1-3 · Nick Sogard 1-2
Texas Rangers
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Josh Jung 3-5 · Jake Burger 2-4, 1 RBI · Justin Foscue 2-5, 1 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.