Statball

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Boston Red Sox
2
0% — our call
Final
Texas Rangers
4
100% — our call
Boston Red Soxgame flow — win probabilityTexas Rangers
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Rangers in control. Red fill: Sox. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

12345678924
Sox · 6 H, 0 ERangers · 7 H, 1 E
100%
Rangers win — Statball prediction
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Kalshi price of “Rangers win” — pays $1 if they do
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our live number minus theirs
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pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Jahmai Jones strikes out swinging.
top 9Roman Anthony singles on a line drive to center fielder Evan Carter.
top 9Nick Sogard grounds out, shortstop Corey Seager to first baseman Jake Burger.
top 9Caleb Durbin strikes out on a foul tip.
bot 8Wyatt Langford pops out to second baseman Nick Sogard.
bot 8Brandon Nimmo strikes out swinging.
bot 8Jake Burger grounds out, third baseman Caleb Durbin to first baseman Willson Contreras.
top 8Andruw Monasterio strikes out swinging.

Context the model prices

Boston Red Sox
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Nick Sogard 1-3, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Roman Anthony 1-5 · Jahmai Jones 1-2
Texas Rangers
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Corey Seager 2-4, 2 RBI · Ezequiel Duran 2-3 · Brandon Nimmo 1-4

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.