Statball

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Tampa Bay Rays
6
100% — our call
Final
Texas Rangers
3
0% — our call
Tampa Bay Raysgame flow — win probabilityTexas Rangers
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Rangers in control. Red fill: Rays. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Rays · 10 H, 1 ERangers · 6 H, 0 E
0%
Rangers win — Statball prediction
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Kalshi price of “Rangers win” — pays $1 if they do
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our live number minus theirs
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pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 10Justin Foscue grounds out, third baseman Junior Caminero to first baseman Jonathan Aranda.
bot 10Elias Díaz strikes out on a foul tip.
bot 10Cody Freeman strikes out swinging.
top 10Chandler Simpson flies out to left fielder Wyatt Langford.
top 10Kenny Piper walks.
top 10Junior Caminero lines out sharply to center fielder Evan Carter.
top 10Jonathan Aranda homers (19) on a fly ball to right center field. Jorge Mateo scores. Yandy Díaz scores.6–3
top 10Jacob Latz intentionally walks Yandy Díaz.

Context the model prices

Tampa Bay Rays
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Jonathan Aranda 2-5, 1 HR, 3 RBI · Junior Caminero 2-5, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Richie Palacios 1-2, 1 HR, 1 RBI
Texas Rangers
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Evan Carter 1-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Joc Pederson 1-3, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Jake Burger 1-4

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.