Statball

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Tampa Bay Rays
7
100% — our call
Final
Texas Rangers
6
0% — our call
Tampa Bay Raysgame flow — win probabilityTexas Rangers
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Rangers in control. Red fill: Rays. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Rays · 12 H, 0 ERangers · 7 H, 1 E
0%
Rangers win — Statball prediction
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Kalshi price of “Rangers win” — pays $1 if they do
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our live number minus theirs
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pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Justin Foscue pops out to second baseman Richie Palacios.
bot 9Elias Díaz out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Chandler Simpson. Jake Burger scores. Evan Carter to 3rd.7–6
bot 9Nicky Lopez out on a sacrifice bunt, pitcher Tyler Wells to second baseman Richie Palacios. Jake Burger to 3rd. Evan Carter to 2nd.
bot 9Evan Carter walks. Jake Burger to 2nd.
bot 9Jake Burger walks.
top 9Victor Mesa Jr. strikes out swinging, catcher Elias Díaz to first baseman Jake Burger.
top 9Ryan Vilade pops out to third baseman Cody Freeman in foul territory.
top 9Junior Caminero singles on a line drive to center fielder Evan Carter. Jorge Mateo scores. Jonathan Aranda to 2nd.7–5

Context the model prices

Tampa Bay Rays
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Jonathan Aranda 2-4, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Richie Palacios 1-3, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Yandy Díaz 3-5
Texas Rangers
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Ezequiel Duran 1-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Elias Díaz 1-3, 1 HR, 5 RBI · Corey Seager 2-4

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.