Statball

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Seattle Mariners
3
0% — our call
Final
Texas Rangers
7
100% — our call
Seattle Marinersgame flow — win probabilityTexas Rangers
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Rangers in control. Red fill: Mariners. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Mariners · 7 H, 0 ERangers · 11 H, 0 E
100%
Rangers win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Rangers win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Colt Emerson strikes out swinging.
top 9J.P. Crawford out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Wyatt Langford. Josh Naylor scores.37
top 9Mitch Garver singles on a line drive to left fielder Wyatt Langford. Josh Naylor to 3rd.
top 9Luke Raley strikes out swinging.
top 9Josh Naylor doubles (14) on a line drive to left fielder Wyatt Langford.
bot 8Elias Díaz strikes out swinging.
bot 8Josh Smith strikes out swinging.
bot 8Nicky Lopez walks. Evan Carter to 2nd.

Context the model prices

Seattle Mariners
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Randy Arozarena 1-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Josh Naylor 1-4 · Cole Young 1-3
Texas Rangers
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Joc Pederson 2-4, 2 HR, 4 RBI · Ezequiel Duran 2-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Jake Burger 1-4, 1 HR, 2 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.