Statball

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Seattle Mariners
1
0% — our call
Final
Texas Rangers
7
100% — our call
Seattle Marinersgame flow — win probabilityTexas Rangers
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Rangers in control. Red fill: Mariners. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

1234567891322
Mariners · 5 H, 0 ERangers · 12 H, 0 E
100%
Rangers win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Rangers win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Josh Naylor grounds out to first baseman Joc Pederson.
top 9Randy Arozarena singles on a sharp line drive to left fielder Josh Smith.
top 9Dominic Canzone grounds out softly, pitcher Ben Peoples to first baseman Joc Pederson.
top 9Julio Rodríguez grounds out, third baseman Ezequiel Duran to first baseman Joc Pederson.
bot 8Cam Cauley grounds out, third baseman J.P. Crawford to first baseman Josh Naylor.
bot 8Joc Pederson grounds into a double play, second baseman Cole Young to first baseman Josh Naylor. Austin Wynns out at 2nd. Joc Pederson out at 1st.
bot 8Austin Wynns singles on a ground ball to left fielder Randy Arozarena.
top 8Cole Young flies out to center fielder Evan Carter.

Context the model prices

Seattle Mariners
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
J.P. Crawford 2-3, 1 RBI · Randy Arozarena 1-4 · Colt Emerson 1-3
Texas Rangers
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Wyatt Langford 3-4, 1 RBI · Joc Pederson 3-5 · Ezequiel Duran 2-4, 2 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.