Statball

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Seattle Mariners
4
0% — our call
Final
Texas Rangers
5
100% — our call
Seattle Marinersgame flow — win probabilityTexas Rangers
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Rangers in control. Red fill: Mariners. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Mariners · 10 H, 0 ERangers · 10 H, 0 E
100%
Rangers win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Rangers win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Julio Rodríguez grounds out, shortstop Nicky Lopez to first baseman Jake Burger.
top 9Randy Arozarena grounds out, second baseman Justin Foscue to first baseman Jake Burger. Colt Emerson to 3rd.
top 9Colt Emerson doubles (6) on a line drive to right fielder Brandon Nimmo.
top 9Buddy Kennedy strikes out swinging.
bot 8Justin Foscue called out on strikes.
bot 8Elias Díaz singles on a line drive to right fielder Dominic Canzone. Nicky Lopez to 2nd.
bot 8Nicky Lopez singles on a line drive to left fielder Randy Arozarena.
bot 8Jake Burger flies out to right fielder Dominic Canzone.

Context the model prices

Seattle Mariners
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Cole Young 3-4 · Colt Emerson 2-3 · Weston Wilson 1-2, 1 RBI
Texas Rangers
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Jake Burger 2-4, 1 HR, 3 RBI · Wyatt Langford 1-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Brandon Nimmo 2-4

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.