Statball

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San Diego Padres
3
0% — our call
Final
Texas Rangers
4
100% — our call
San Diego Padresgame flow — win probabilityTexas Rangers
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Rangers in control. Red fill: Padres. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

123456789331
Padres · 9 H, 0 ERangers · 9 H, 0 E
100%
Rangers win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Rangers win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Rodolfo Durán grounds into a force out, shortstop Ezequiel Duran to second baseman Nicky Lopez. Xander Bogaerts out at 2nd.
top 9Sung-Mun Song lines out to left fielder Jarred Kelenic.
top 9Ty France strikes out on a foul tip.
top 9Xander Bogaerts singles on a ground ball to center fielder Wyatt Langford. Fernando Tatis Jr. to 2nd.
top 9Fernando Tatis Jr. singles on a ground ball to center fielder Wyatt Langford.
bot 8Jarred Kelenic caught stealing 2nd base, catcher Rodolfo Durán to shortstop Xander Bogaerts.
bot 8Kyle Higashioka called out on strikes.
bot 8Justin Foscue walks.

Context the model prices

San Diego Padres
10 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 40 batters faced over the last two days
Xander Bogaerts 2-3, 1 RBI · Jackson Merrill 1-4 · Sung-Mun Song 1-4, 1 RBI
Texas Rangers
11 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 33 batters faced over the last two days
Wyatt Langford 2-4, 1 HR, 3 RBI · Jake Burger 2-4 · Nicky Lopez 2-2

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.