Statball

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San Diego Padres
6
100% — our call
Final
Texas Rangers
4
0% — our call
San Diego Padresgame flow — win probabilityTexas Rangers
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Rangers in control. Red fill: Padres. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Padres · 9 H, 1 ERangers · 9 H, 1 E
0%
Rangers win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Rangers win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 10Wyatt Langford singles on a ground ball to third baseman Manny Machado. Elias Díaz scores.64
bot 10Josh Jung strikes out swinging.
bot 10Joc Pederson flies out sharply to center fielder Jackson Merrill. Elias Díaz to 3rd.
top 10Will Wagner flies out to shortstop Ezequiel Duran.
top 10Ty France pops out to third baseman Josh Jung in foul territory.
top 10Jackson Merrill grounds into a force out, second baseman Justin Foscue to shortstop Ezequiel Duran. Xander Bogaerts out at 2nd. Jackson Merrill to 1st.
top 10Xander Bogaerts singles on a ground ball to left fielder Cody Freeman.
top 10Manny Machado homers (13) on a line drive to left center field. Fernando Tatis Jr. scores. Samad Taylor scores.63

Context the model prices

San Diego Padres
11 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 21 batters faced over the last two days
Manny Machado 2-5, 1 HR, 5 RBI · Jackson Merrill 3-5, 1 RBI · Fernando Tatis Jr. 2-5
Texas Rangers
10 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 35 batters faced over the last two days
Jake Burger 1-3, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Wyatt Langford 2-4, 2 RBI · Josh Jung 2-5

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.