Statball

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San Diego Padres
7
0% — our call
Final
Texas Rangers
9
100% — our call
San Diego Padresgame flow — win probabilityTexas Rangers
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Rangers in control. Red fill: Padres. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

1234567895116111
Padres · 10 H, 1 ERangers · 13 H, 0 E
100%
Rangers win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Rangers win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Manny Machado pops out to first baseman Jake Burger in foul territory.
top 9Jackson Merrill grounds into a force out, third baseman Josh Jung to shortstop Ezequiel Duran. Samad Taylor out at 2nd. Jackson Merrill to 1st.
top 9Samad Taylor singles on a line drive to center fielder Wyatt Langford.
top 9Fernando Tatis Jr. grounds out, shortstop Ezequiel Duran to first baseman Jake Burger.
bot 8Jarred Kelenic strikes out swinging.
bot 8Ezequiel Duran grounds out, catcher Blake Hunt to first baseman Ty France.
bot 8Brandon Nimmo flies out to left fielder Gavin Sheets.
bot 8Wyatt Langford homers (5) on a fly ball to left center field.79

Context the model prices

San Diego Padres
11 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 21 batters faced over the last two days
Ty France 3-4, 2 HR, 5 RBI · Gavin Sheets 2-4, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Samad Taylor 3-5
Texas Rangers
10 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 35 batters faced over the last two days
Wyatt Langford 3-5, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Alejandro Osuna 2-3, 2 RBI · Josh Jung 2-4

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.