Statball

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Minnesota Twins
4
100% — our call
Final
Texas Rangers
2
0% — our call
Minnesota Twinsgame flow — win probabilityTexas Rangers
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Rangers in control. Red fill: Twins. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

123456789312
Twins · 4 H, 0 ERangers · 5 H, 0 E
0%
Rangers win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Rangers win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Jake Burger strikes out swinging.
bot 9Brandon Nimmo grounds out, shortstop Ryan Kreidler to first baseman Royce Lewis.
bot 9Wyatt Langford grounds out softly, pitcher Yoendrys Gómez to first baseman Royce Lewis.
top 9Kyler Fedko grounds out, shortstop Nicky Lopez to first baseman Jake Burger.
top 9Josh Bell pops out to shortstop Nicky Lopez.
top 9Royce Lewis pops out to third baseman Josh Jung.
bot 8Josh Jung flies out to center fielder Byron Buxton.
bot 8Joc Pederson singles on a ground ball to center fielder Byron Buxton.

Context the model prices

Minnesota Twins
7 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 24 batters faced over the last two days
Josh Bell 2-4, 1 HR, 3 RBI · Byron Buxton 1-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Austin Martin 1-4
Texas Rangers
10 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 15 batters faced over the last two days
Joc Pederson 2-3, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Jake Burger 1-4 · Nicky Lopez 1-3

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.