Statball

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Minnesota Twins
12
100% — our call
Final
Texas Rangers
2
0% — our call
Minnesota Twinsgame flow — win probabilityTexas Rangers
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Rangers in control. Red fill: Twins. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Twins · 17 H, 0 ERangers · 8 H, 2 E
0%
Rangers win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Rangers win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Alejandro Osuna strikes out swinging.
bot 9Josh Smith flies out to right fielder Kyler Fedko.
bot 9Jake Burger grounds out, shortstop Tristan Gray to first baseman Royce Lewis. Ezequiel Duran to 2nd.
bot 9Ezequiel Duran walks.
top 9Ryan Kreidler flies out to left fielder Cody Freeman.
top 9Kyler Fedko out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Cody Freeman. Alex Jackson scores.122
top 9Trevor Larnach singles on a line drive to left fielder Cody Freeman. Alex Jackson to 3rd.
top 9Alex Jackson doubles (3) on a fly ball to center fielder Ezequiel Duran. Luke Keaschall scores.112

Context the model prices

Minnesota Twins
7 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 21 batters faced over the last two days
Trevor Larnach 4-6, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Kody Clemens 2-4, 1 HR, 3 RBI · Alex Jackson 3-5, 1 RBI
Texas Rangers
10 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 28 batters faced over the last two days
Brandon Nimmo 2-3 · Wyatt Langford 1-3 · Jake Burger 1-4

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.