Statball

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Houston Astros
5
100% — our call
Final
Texas Rangers
1
0% — our call
Houston Astrosgame flow — win probabilityTexas Rangers
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Rangers in control. Red fill: Astros. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Astros · 6 H, 1 ERangers · 4 H, 1 E
0%
Rangers win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Rangers win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Nicky Lopez lines out to right fielder Cam Smith.
bot 9Kyle Higashioka strikes out swinging.
bot 9Ezequiel Duran strikes out swinging.
top 9Nick Allen lines out to shortstop Ezequiel Duran.
top 9Braden Shewmake flies out to right fielder Brandon Nimmo.
top 9Cam Smith singles on a ground ball to second baseman Nicky Lopez.
top 9Taylor Trammell flies out to left fielder Sam Haggerty.
bot 8Jake Burger pops out to third baseman Braden Shewmake.

Context the model prices

Houston Astros
12 on the injured list (3 stars) · bullpen threw 21 batters faced over the last two days
Jeremy Peña 2-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Isaac Paredes 1-3, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Cam Smith 2-4, 1 RBI
Texas Rangers
8 on the injured list · bullpen threw 23 batters faced over the last two days
Josh Jung 2-3, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Ezequiel Duran 2-4 · Evan Carter 0-3

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.